Politics And The Markets 03/23/26

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More on Today’s Markets:

“If Iran doesn’t FULLY OPEN, WITHOUT THREAT, the Strait of Hormuz, within 48 HOURS from this exact point in time, the United States of America will hit and obliterate their various POWER PLANTS, STARTING WITH THE BIGGEST ONE FIRST!” Trump wrote on Truth Social.

“For ​reasons of decency, I ​have chosen NOT to wipe out the Oil ​Infrastructure on ​the Island,” Trump wrote, but “should Iran, or anyone else, do anything to interfere with the Free and Safe Passage of Ships through the Strait of Hormuz, I will immediately reconsider this decision.”

Kalshi contracts point to a more gradual reopening timeline. Markets imply roughly a 39% probability that traffic normalizes by May 15, rising to about 53% by June 1 and 59% by July 1, indicating expectations that disruptions could persist into the second quarter.

“If the Radical Left Democrats don’t immediately sign an agreement to let our Country, in particular our Airports, be FREE and SAFE again, I will move our brilliant and patriotic ICE Agents to